Ever heard of the January Effect? At Day Trade to Win, John Paul describes it as an accurate way to determine if price will be up or down by the end of the year compared to its price at the end of January of the same year. Sounds complicated? Watch the video. If you take a look at January, 2013, you will notice that price closed higher at the end of the month. January was an up month. This will also hold true for the entire year. At the end of December 2013, John Paul claims price will be higher than the closing January 2013 price. Now, there will be pullbacks along the way. When price drops to estimated bottom levels throughout the year, professional traders will buy the market expecting the overall trend to be profitable. This January Effect is known among the professional trading community. In 2012, price followed the January Effect. Although you may find a few years where the January Effect does not hold up, overall you will see a distinct trend – one that hedge funds, high frequency algorithms, and financial institutions will keep in mind. For the average retail trader, you likely won’t be holding positions long enough for the January Effect to matter. At Day Trade to Win, they focus on smaller time frames. The longest they’ll hold a trade for is typically 20 minutes or four bars on a five minute chart. In most cases, the profit target will be hit first, or if the trade goes against you, the prove-it stop. Trading dynamically using price action is important – it’s adaptive.